基于生态足迹模型的城市可持续发展定量评估与预测

Abstract
Figure/Table
References
Related Citation (15)

Download: PDF (729 KB) HTML (1 KB)
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

Abstract

Ecological Footprint (EF) theory has an important guiding significance for urban ecosystem research and ecological construction of a city. In this paper, we report an assessment on dynamic change of EF in Guangzhou based on data from 2001 to 2005. Our results show that EF demand per capita was 3.95527 hm²·person^-1 in 2005, which was much greater than supply. During 2001～2005 EF percapita tended to increase and the demand for fossil fuel EF was ranked as top one that took up 72.67% of the EF demand in 2005, while EF per ten thousand Yuan GDP tended to decrease. By the means of STELLA it is forecasted that the tendency of EF demand per capita in Guangzhou till 2025 would be going up. It is concluded that the demand for fossil fuel EF is a key contributing factor for increased demand of EF in Guangzhou.

Key words： ecological footprint urban sustainable development assess forecast

Received: 25 August 2007

Q149

	Service

	E-mail this article
	Add to my bookshelf
	Add to citation manager
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	Articles by authors
	SUN Xun
	CHENG Hong-shan
	CHEN Zhang-he

Cite this article:

SUN Xun,CHENG Hong-shan,CHEN Zhang-he. Assessment and forecast of urban sustainability based on ecological footprint[J]. , 2007, 26(4): 343-350.

URL:

http://www.ecolsci.com/EN/ OR http://www.ecolsci.com/EN/Y2007/V26/I4/343

[1] William E R.1992.Ecological footprints and appropriated carrying capacity:what urban economics leaves out[J].Environment Urban,4(2):121-130.

[2] 陶在朴.2003.《生态包袱与生态足迹》[M].北京:经济科学出版社,11.

[3] Wackernagel M,William Rees.1996.Our ecological footprint-reducing Human impact on the Earth[M].British Volumbia:New Society Publishers,61-83.

[4] Yoshihiko Wads.1999.The myth of ‘sustainable development':The ecological footprint of Japanese consumption[D].Vancouver,B.C.:School of Community and Regional Planning,The University of British Columbia,Canada.

[5] Folke C,Jansson A,Larsson J et al.1997.Ecosystem appropriation by cities[J].Ambio,26(3):167-172.

[6] Katheyn B,Bicknell.1998.New Methodology for the ecological footprint with an application to the New Zealand economy.Ecological Economics,27:149～160.

[7] 杨开忠,仰咏,陈洁.2000.生态足迹分析理论与方法[J].地球科学进展,15(6):630-636.

[8] 李利锋,成升魁.2000.生态占用——衡量可持续发展的新指标[J].自然资源学报,15(4)375-382.

[9] 王书华,毛汉英.2002.生态足迹研究的国内外近期进展[J].自然资源学报,17(6):776-782.

[10] 徐中民,张志强,程国栋.2000.甘肃省1998年生态足迹计算与分析[J].地理学报,55(5):607-615.

[11] 陈东景,徐中民.2001.生态足迹理论在我国干旱区的应用与探讨——以新疆为例[J].干旱区地理,24(4):305-309.

[12] 陈东景,徐中民,程国栋,等.2001.中国西北地区的生态足迹[J].冰川冻土,23(2):164-169.

[13] 张志强,徐中民,程国栋,等.2001.中国西部12省(区市)的生态足迹[J].地理学报,56(5):599-610.

[14] 胡孟春,张永春.2003.张家口市坝上地区生态足迹初步研究[J].应用生态学报,14(2):317-320.

[15] 黄青,任志远,王晓风.2003.黄土高原地区生态足迹研究[J].国土与自然资源研究,(2):57-58.

[16] 李金平,王志石.2003.澳门2001年生态足迹分析.自然资源学报[J].18(2):197-203.

[17] 王书华,毛汉英.2002.生态足迹研究的国内外近期进展[J].自然资源学报,17(6):776-782.

[18] 梁星,王祥荣.2002.上海地区可持续发展状况的生态痕迹评价[J].复旦学报,41(4):338-394.

[19] 赵秀勇,谬旭波.2003.生态足迹分析方法在生态持续发展定量研究中的应用[J].农村生态环境,19(2):58-60.

[20] 广州统计局编.2006.广州统计年鉴(2006)[M].广州:广州年鉴出版社.

[21] 广州统计局编.2002.广州统计年鉴(2002)[M].广州:广州年鉴出版社.

[22] 广州统计局编.2003.广州统计年鉴(2003)[M].广州:广州年鉴出版社.

[23] 广州统计局编.2004.广州统计年鉴(2004)[M].广州:广州年鉴出版社.

[24] 广州统计局编.2005.广州统计年鉴(2005)[M].广州:广州年鉴出版社.

[25] 李世东,张大红,翟洪波.2006.生态综合指数及其在生态状况评估中的应用研究[J].自然资源学报,21(5):782-789.

[26] 刘蕾,刘建军,李志强,等.2006.城市生态环境质量评价初探[J].干旱环境监测,20(2):79-82.

[27] 张卫,郭玉燕.2006.城市可持续发展指标体系的研究[J].南京社会科学,(11):45-51.

[28] 庄雪影,麦士维.2000.完善生态影响评估促进中国生态资源的保护[J].城市环境与城市生态,13(3):23-25.

[29] 徐俏,何孟常,杨志峰,等.2003.广州市生态系统服务功能价值评估[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),39(2):268-272.

[30] WACKERMAGEL M,REES W.1996.Our ecological footprint:Reducing human impact on the earth[M].Gabriola Island:New Society publishers.

[31] 董宪军.2002.《生态城市论》[M].北京:中国社会科学出版社,5.

[32] 匡耀求,黄宁生.2004.可持续发展评价的生态踩占模型及Ecological Footprint一词的翻译[J].热带地理,24(3):298-300.

[1]	. [J]. Ecological Science, 2020, 39(3): 49-.