工业城市(沈阳)能源消耗碳排放的影响因素分解及实证分析

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Abstract

Shenyang,as the largest metropolis and heavy industrial city in Northeastern China,will continue to consume more energy sources.Its energy structure mainly relies on fossil fuel and such a structure cannot be changed in the short term.This results in increasing CO₂ emission.Therefore,understanding the status and driving forces of CO₂ emission in Shenyang is critical for addressing related mitigation policies.In this study by adopting IPCC method and taking account of the not fully combustion of fuel,we are inventorying greenhouse gas emissions in Shenyang for the period of 2005-2009 and then analyze the driving forces for the historical evolution of CO₂ emission from energy intensity,energy structure and economic activities perspectives.The results indicate that the total scale of economic activities is the main driving force for the increase of carbon emissions,while energy consumption per unit GDP is decreasing due to scientific improvement and energy structure have limited impacts on total CO₂ emission.Results illustrate that the fossil fuel-based energy structure has been stable during this period,and the increasing economic scale offsets the improvement of energy intensity,resulting in increasing CO₂ emission.

Key words： carbon emissions decomposition analysis impact factors Shenyang

Received: 25 October 2012

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	Articles by authors
	WANG Mei-ling
	XI Feng-ming
	XUE Bing
	GENG Yong
	DONG Hui-juan

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WANG Mei-ling,XI Feng-ming,XUE Bing, et al. Impact factors decomposition and empirical analysis of energy consumption carbon emissions in Shenyang, China[J]. , 2012, 31(5): 538-542.

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http://www.ecolsci.com/EN/ OR http://www.ecolsci.com/EN/Y2012/V31/I5/538

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